AQA MathsProbability

Sample spaces and frequency trees

List outcomes clearly and calculate probabilities.

AQAGCSE MathsProbabilityFoundation and Higher
Visual model

A sample space lists every outcome once

11223344rows and columns prevent missed outcomes
Gold-standard guide
20 mins

What you will learn

List outcomes clearly and calculate probabilities.
Use a clear step-by-step method for sample spaces and frequency trees.
Check your answer and avoid the most common exam mistake.
Useful before you start
Core number skillsEarlier probability skillsShowing clear working
Core knowledge

Know the rule, then use it

These are the short notes. Read each one, then check you can use it in the worked example below.

Method

Method

Sample space: list all equally likely outcomes systematically — use a grid or table

Step 1

Draw a 6×6 sample space grid

Rows: die 1 (1–6)

Step 2

Identify cells where total = 8

(2,6), (3,5), (4,4), (5,3), (6,2) — that is 5 cells

Step 3

Calculate the probability

P(total = 8) = 536\frac{5}{3}6

Watch out

Watch out

Students count outcomes for the same total multiple times (for example writing (3,5) and (5,3) as just one outcome)

f
Sample space

List every possible outcome once.

f
Frequency tree

Use branch totals to find missing frequencies before probabilities.

Worked example

Two fair dice are rolled. Find P(total = 8).

1

Draw a 6×6 sample space grid: Rows: die 1 (1–6). Columns: die 2 (1–6). Total outcomes = 36.

2

Identify cells where total = 8: (2,6), (3,5), (4,4), (5,3), (6,2) — that is 5 cells.

3

Calculate the probability: P(total = 8) = 536\frac{5}{3}6.

Final answer

536\frac{5}{3}6

Question ladder

Build up to the hardest questions

Do them in order. If you miss a step, read the solution, then redo the question without looking.

Workedreasoning

Two fair dice are rolled. Find P(total = 8).

3 marks4 minssample-spaces-and-frequency-trees-worked
Show solution
Worked solution
  1. 1.Draw a 6×6 sample space grid: Rows: die 1 (1–6). Columns: die 2 (1–6). Total outcomes = 36.
  2. 2.Identify cells where total = 8: (2,6), (3,5), (4,4), (5,3), (6,2) — that is 5 cells.
  3. 3.Calculate the probability: P(total = 8) = 536\frac{5}{3}6.
Final answer

536\frac{5}{3}6

Mark points
  • M1: draw a 6×6 sample space grid
  • M1: identify cells where total = 8
  • M1: calculate the probability
  • A1: 536\frac{5}{3}6
Watch out

g. writing (3,5) and (5,3) as just one outcome). A full grid prevents this.Always count each ordered pair as a distinct outcome.

Diagnosticrecall

P(total = 7) when two dice are rolled.

1 mark2 minssample-spaces-and-frequency-trees-q1
Show solution
Worked solution
  1. 1.Spot the skill: Sample space: list all equally likely outcomes systematically — use a grid or table.
  2. 2.Use the draw a 6×6 sample space grid stage first, then identify cells where total = 8.
  3. 3.Keep the final answer visible: 636\frac{6}{3}6 = 16\frac{1}{6}.
Final answer

636\frac{6}{3}6 = 16\frac{1}{6}

Mark points
  • M1: use the correct sample space: list all equally likely outcomes systematically — use a grid or table.frequency trees: branch probabilities multiply along a path, all branches from one node sum to 1.p(event) = number of favourable cells / total cells.
  • A1: 636\frac{6}{3}6 = 16\frac{1}{6}
Watch out

g. writing (3,5) and (5,3) as just one outcome). A full grid prevents this.Always count each ordered pair as a distinct outcome.

Easyprocedure

P(at least one 6) when two dice are rolled.

2 marks3 minssample-spaces-and-frequency-trees-q2
Show solution
Worked solution
  1. 1.Spot the skill: Sample space: list all equally likely outcomes systematically — use a grid or table.
  2. 2.Use the identify cells where total = 8 stage first, then calculate the probability.
  3. 3.Keep the final answer visible: 11361\frac{1}{3}6.
Final answer

11361\frac{1}{3}6

Mark points
  • M1: use the correct sample space: list all equally likely outcomes systematically — use a grid or table.frequency trees: branch probabilities multiply along a path, all branches from one node sum to 1.p(event) = number of favourable cells / total cells.
  • A1: 11361\frac{1}{3}6
Watch out

g. writing (3,5) and (5,3) as just one outcome). A full grid prevents this.Always count each ordered pair as a distinct outcome.

Mediumreasoning

A bag has 4 red, 2 blue balls. Two are drawn with replacement. Find P(both red).

3 marks4 minssample-spaces-and-frequency-trees-q3
Show solution
Worked solution
  1. 1.Spot the skill: Sample space: list all equally likely outcomes systematically — use a grid or table.
  2. 2.Use the calculate the probability stage first, then draw a 6×6 sample space grid.
  3. 3.Keep the final answer visible: 46\frac{4}{6} × 46\frac{4}{6} = 49\frac{4}{9}.
Final answer

46\frac{4}{6} × 46\frac{4}{6} = 49\frac{4}{9}

Mark points
  • M1: use the correct sample space: list all equally likely outcomes systematically — use a grid or table.frequency trees: branch probabilities multiply along a path, all branches from one node sum to 1.p(event) = number of favourable cells / total cells.
  • A1: 46\frac{4}{6} × 46\frac{4}{6} = 49\frac{4}{9}
Watch out

g. writing (3,5) and (5,3) as just one outcome). A full grid prevents this.Always count each ordered pair as a distinct outcome.

Hardproblem solving

P(different colours) when drawing twice with replacement from the bag above.

3 marks5 minssample-spaces-and-frequency-trees-q4
Show solution
Worked solution
  1. 1.Spot the skill: Sample space: list all equally likely outcomes systematically — use a grid or table.
  2. 2.Use the draw a 6×6 sample space grid stage first, then identify cells where total = 8.
  3. 3.Keep the final answer visible: 2 × (46\frac{4}{6} × 26\frac{2}{6}) = 818\frac{8}{1}8 = 49\frac{4}{9}.
Final answer

2 × (46\frac{4}{6} × 26\frac{2}{6}) = 818\frac{8}{1}8 = 49\frac{4}{9}

Mark points
  • M1: use the correct sample space: list all equally likely outcomes systematically — use a grid or table.frequency trees: branch probabilities multiply along a path, all branches from one node sum to 1.p(event) = number of favourable cells / total cells.
  • A1: 2 × (46\frac{4}{6} × 26\frac{2}{6}) = 818\frac{8}{1}8 = 49\frac{4}{9}
Watch out

g. writing (3,5) and (5,3) as just one outcome). A full grid prevents this.Always count each ordered pair as a distinct outcome.

Exam-stylemulti-step

In a frequency tree: P(late) = 0.1 on a bus day. Bus day P = 0.6. Find P(late and bus day).

4 marks6 minssample-spaces-and-frequency-trees-q5
Show solution
Worked solution
  1. 1.Spot the skill: Sample space: list all equally likely outcomes systematically — use a grid or table.
  2. 2.Use the identify cells where total = 8 stage first, then calculate the probability.
  3. 3.Keep the final answer visible: 0.06.
Final answer

0.06

Mark points
  • M1: use the correct sample space: list all equally likely outcomes systematically — use a grid or table.frequency trees: branch probabilities multiply along a path, all branches from one node sum to 1.p(event) = number of favourable cells / total cells.
  • A1: 0.06
Watch out

g. writing (3,5) and (5,3) as just one outcome). A full grid prevents this.Always count each ordered pair as a distinct outcome.

Grade 9 stretchproblem solving

Spinner A shows 1, 2 or 3. Spinner B shows X or Y. All outcomes are equally likely. Find P(even number and Y).

4 marks7 minssample-space-g9
Show solution
Worked solution
  1. 1.List the six possible ordered outcomes.
  2. 2.Identify the one matching both conditions.
Final answer

16\frac{1}{6}

Mark points
  • M1: identify six outcomes
  • A1: 16\frac{1}{6}
Watch out

Do not rush straight into arithmetic. Select the relevant method and show a complete chain of working.

Timed checkpoint
12 mins - 9 marks

Switch between skills

Set a timer and attempt all four questions before opening any answers. This is closer to the way skills appear in a real paper.

1Sample spaces and frequency trees - 2 marksP(total = 7) when two dice are rolled.Mark answer
Answer

636\frac{6}{3}6 = 16\frac{1}{6}

2Probability basics - 2 marksP(A) = 0.35. Find P(not A).Mark answer
Answer

0.65

3Relative frequency - 2 marksExpected frequency of an outcome with probability 0.4 in 250 trials.Mark answer
Answer

100

4Venn diagrams and set notation - 3 marksIn a Venn diagram, the 'only A' region has 9, 'only B' has 7, 'both' has 4. Find P(A).Mark answer
Answer

P(A) = 13201\frac{3}{2}0

Mastery check
  • I can explain the method for sample spaces and frequency trees.
  • I can show clear working without skipping key steps.
  • g. writing (3,5) and (5,3) as just one outcome). A full grid prevents this.Always count each ordered pair as a distinct outcome.
Related topics
Official exam-board sources

This guide follows the AQA GCSE Mathematics 8300 specification. Practice questions are original Learnova questions shaped around official content and exam skills.

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